It’s been a couple of years since ERCU last asked me – the Carnac of model hydroplane racing – to preview the season, so I’ve polished up the crystal ball and jotted down a few thoughts on the way I see things turning out in the first decade anniversary season of your wonderful club.

The mysterious Farl Fredley has graced us again with his preseason prognostications. Will he be right? Only time will tell.
A few things have changed, though most of the faces and places are the same. More impressive than that, however, is the number of boats that have a chance to muscle their way into the top spots this season. Nearly gone are the days when one or two boats would dominate the vintage and modern classes. Today, we’re looking at two divisions that are as deep as they’ve ever been.
With Mike Campbell having joined up with the renewed Jones Racing U-9 team, not to mention his involvement in ESU, he’s saying he’ll cut back on his ERCU schedule in 2012, and Mike Gossler having sold his 1978 Miss Circus Circus, the race for the top of the modern field has opened itself up wide.
Some say logic (and statistics) suggest Nelson Holmberg will rise to the top with his 2010 Formula Boats. Others say the totally brand-new 2010 Oh Boy! Oberto of Craig Bradshaw will be tough to beat. Then there’s Bill Smiley’s 1977 Charlie’s Girl, Gary Hansen’s 1974 Miss Cott’s Beverage and Mark Hansen’s 1972 Notre Dame which will also make noise. And never count out Campbell’s 1982 Executone and 1986 Boat. Even if they don’t show up at every race, they’ll maximize the points they do get, and figure to be in the top 10 again this year. Mick Shutt, ERCU’s most improved modern driver, will also be back with the 1976 Miss Vernors and the 1978 Miss Budweiser. Then there’s Mr. Consistency, Nels Enquist, with his 1972 Lincoln Thrift’s 7 ¼% Special that will also stick its sponsons into every race. Ryan Opfer is expected back as well, and the purple people eater (2009 Buffalo Federal Savings) will eventually be converted to the 2011 Miss Peters & May (U-11). It’s about ready for paint as of this writing, but it sounds like the hull won’t be ready for an unveiling at Centralia. The modern hulls from Ron & Alex Daum’s Great Lakes Boat Shop – 2003 Llumar Window Films and 2009 Grandview on the Lake – are also both worthy of mention, because they run well and have sufficient speed to contend.
Some newcomers in the modern class, though, will also draw attention. Robbie Roberts unveils his new 1984 Executone this season, and his son Robert – a potential rookie of the year candidate before the season even starts – will bring out the 1999 Znetix. Both boats are expected to score a lot of points.
When it all comes down to making predictions, your faithful futurist must take into consideration the number of races expected to be attended by each of the boats. So here they are:
1. 2010 Formula Boats
2. 2010 Oh Boy! Oberto
3. 1986 Boat
4. 1982 Executone
5. 1972 Lincoln Thrift’s 7 ¼% Special
6. 1977 Charlie’s Girl
7. 1976 Miss Vernors
8. 2003 Llumar Window Films
9. 2010 Miss Peters & May
10. 2011 Miss Peters & May
Over in the vintage class, not much has changed because the front-runners return from one of the closest points chases in the history of the club. By the time the 2011 season was over, Ben Keller’s 1957 Hawaii Ka’i III ruled the roost, but by fewer than 2,000 total points over Gerry Bordon’s 1970 Parco’s O-Ring Miss, which proved to be just as fast as the Ka’i.
The only new boats on the scene that figure to make much of a splash in the vintage top 10 this season are Kirk Pagel’s 1971 Atlas Van Lines and Steve Dumanis’ 1969 Pride of Pay ‘n Pak Outrigger, which is a newly-constructed boat from the Dumanis shop – not the Outrigger developed and offered for sale this past fall by Jeff Campbell.
One vintage boat returning to the fold will most certainly be fast, and that’s the 1969 Notre Dame, which was purchased over the winter by the Spartacus Racing Team of Craig Mullen. It’s not going to be ready in time for the Champion Spark Plug Regatta, but the season opener still promises to be one heck of a race, and could be a great vision for what to expect from the entire season in the vintage class.
1. 1957 Hawaii Ka’i III
2. 1970 Parco’s O-Ring Miss
3. 1960 Miss Burien
4. 1958 Coral Reef
5. 1975 Miss Vernor’s
6. 1957 Miss Wahoo
7. 1969 Pay ‘n Pak Outrigger
8. 1971 Atlas Van Lines
9. 1959 Maverick
10. 1971 Hallmark Homes
There’s a handful of other vintage boats that could make their way into the Top-10 – like Kerry Kjos’ 1960 Miss Thriftway, John Earnest’s 1962 Gale V, Shutt’s 1975 Oh Boy! Oberto, Gary Hansen’s 1956 Muvalong, and more – dependent upon how many races they attend this season.
So…as you can see, there’s a lot yet to be determined, and with my track record, a lot that’s probably not even close. But it’s fun for me, and I’m hoping it’s fun for you to read. A year from now, let’s see if I’m asked back to give it another shot. Go get ‘em guys!